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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.50+1.96vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.03+1.77vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.19vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.43-0.90vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.26+0.07vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.17+0.64vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.14-1.71vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.36-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Cornell University2.500.2%1st Place
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3.77University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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2.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.3%1st Place
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3.1University of Pennsylvania2.430.2%1st Place
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5.07University of Wisconsin1.260.1%1st Place
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6.64Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
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5.29Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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6.35Northwestern University0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daisy Holthus | 23.4% | 21.7% | 20.5% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jenna Probst | 14.0% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 20.2% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 1.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 26.0% | 22.4% | 20.7% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Lenox Butcher | 21.3% | 21.1% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 13.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Erin Sullivan | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 17.3% | 21.7% | 18.0% | 8.4% |
| Christina Black | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 22.2% | 43.8% |
| Lera Anders | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 16.0% | 20.1% | 19.0% | 13.7% |
| Margot Murray | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 17.0% | 27.9% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.