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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.50+1.94vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.03+1.78vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.26+2.06vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-1.16vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.43-1.83vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.17+0.63vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.36-0.59vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.14-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94Cornell University2.500.2%1st Place
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3.78University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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5.06University of Wisconsin1.260.1%1st Place
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2.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.3%1st Place
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3.17University of Pennsylvania2.430.2%1st Place
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6.63Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
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6.41Northwestern University0.360.0%1st Place
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5.16Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daisy Holthus | 24.3% | 20.6% | 21.0% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Jenna Probst | 13.6% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 19.5% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| Erin Sullivan | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 22.9% | 18.3% | 8.8% |
| Bailey Carter | 25.3% | 22.9% | 18.8% | 17.2% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Lenox Butcher | 19.7% | 21.6% | 18.7% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 7.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Christina Black | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 13.9% | 23.9% | 43.1% |
| Margot Murray | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 27.5% | 36.0% |
| Lera Anders | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 19.0% | 19.8% | 20.1% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.