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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.76vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.50+1.05vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.12vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan2.03-0.20vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.36+1.44vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.26-1.02vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.14-1.73vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.17-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.3%1st Place
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3.05Cornell University2.500.2%1st Place
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3.12University of Pennsylvania2.430.2%1st Place
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3.8University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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6.44Northwestern University0.360.0%1st Place
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4.98University of Wisconsin1.260.1%1st Place
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5.27Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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6.58Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 26.2% | 25.3% | 18.5% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Daisy Holthus | 21.7% | 22.2% | 18.7% | 16.8% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Lenox Butcher | 21.2% | 19.4% | 21.0% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Jenna Probst | 13.8% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 18.3% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Margot Murray | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 16.1% | 25.2% | 36.6% |
| Erin Sullivan | 7.1% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 19.7% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 8.5% |
| Lera Anders | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 20.9% | 20.6% | 11.8% |
| Christina Black | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 16.3% | 24.9% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.