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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.50+1.98vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.84vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.11vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan2.03-0.23vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.26+0.07vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.36+0.40vs Predicted
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7Queen's University0.17-0.33vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.14-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Cornell University2.500.2%1st Place
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2.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.3%1st Place
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3.11University of Pennsylvania2.430.2%1st Place
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3.77University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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5.07University of Wisconsin1.260.1%1st Place
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6.4Northwestern University0.360.0%1st Place
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6.67Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
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5.16Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daisy Holthus | 22.8% | 22.7% | 20.6% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Bailey Carter | 25.4% | 23.4% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 10.6% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Lenox Butcher | 21.6% | 19.4% | 20.3% | 17.3% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Jenna Probst | 14.1% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Erin Sullivan | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 21.5% | 18.9% | 7.8% |
| Margot Murray | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 15.9% | 26.4% | 34.2% |
| Christina Black | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 24.9% | 44.9% |
| Lera Anders | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 18.4% | 20.3% | 18.5% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.