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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.20+2.33vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.03+1.70vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.25vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.14+1.22vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.43-1.97vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.17+0.59vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.26-1.94vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.36-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33Cornell University2.200.2%1st Place
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3.7University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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2.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.3%1st Place
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5.22Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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3.03University of Pennsylvania2.430.2%1st Place
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6.59Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
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5.06University of Wisconsin1.260.1%1st Place
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6.31Northwestern University0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 17.9% | 19.2% | 19.8% | 17.6% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Jenna Probst | 14.9% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 18.7% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
| Bailey Carter | 27.9% | 23.3% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Lera Anders | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 21.7% | 18.3% | 12.3% |
| Lenox Butcher | 21.7% | 22.7% | 18.8% | 16.5% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Christina Black | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 23.5% | 42.7% |
| Erin Sullivan | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 17.6% | 19.0% | 17.4% | 10.7% |
| Margot Murray | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 15.9% | 27.8% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.