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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.20+2.34vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.26+2.99vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.04vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.36+2.36vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.14+0.24vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-3.28vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan2.03-3.27vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.17-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Cornell University2.200.2%1st Place
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4.99University of Wisconsin1.260.1%1st Place
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3.04University of Pennsylvania2.430.2%1st Place
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6.36Northwestern University0.360.0%1st Place
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5.24Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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2.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.3%1st Place
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3.73University of Michigan2.030.2%1st Place
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6.58Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 18.0% | 19.3% | 19.0% | 17.4% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Erin Sullivan | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 19.2% | 19.2% | 17.1% | 8.8% |
| Lenox Butcher | 22.1% | 21.3% | 19.8% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Margot Murray | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 26.4% | 34.9% |
| Lera Anders | 5.6% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 21.1% | 19.7% | 11.3% |
| Bailey Carter | 27.7% | 23.9% | 18.3% | 16.1% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Jenna Probst | 15.2% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 1.5% |
| Christina Black | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 15.2% | 23.5% | 41.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.