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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.20+2.38vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.43+1.07vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan2.03+0.73vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.36+2.36vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.260.00vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.14-0.87vs Predicted
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7Queen's University0.17-0.34vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Cornell University2.200.2%1st Place
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3.07University of Pennsylvania2.430.2%1st Place
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3.73University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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6.36Northwestern University0.360.0%1st Place
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5.0University of Wisconsin1.260.1%1st Place
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5.13Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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6.66Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
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2.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 17.2% | 19.6% | 18.7% | 17.2% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Lenox Butcher | 21.7% | 21.8% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Jenna Probst | 14.4% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 18.4% | 16.5% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Margot Murray | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 25.1% | 34.6% |
| Erin Sullivan | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 20.6% | 18.4% | 7.4% |
| Lera Anders | 6.7% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 20.7% | 17.5% | 11.1% |
| Christina Black | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 25.9% | 44.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 29.9% | 22.4% | 19.8% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.