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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.57+2.99vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.47+5.12vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.01+2.89vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.83+2.41vs Predicted
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50.64+1.87vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.12+2.49vs Predicted
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7Stanford University1.00-1.33vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18+0.29vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.49-1.33vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University-0.17-0.31vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College-1.05+1.08vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii0.47-4.54vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.48-2.55vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-7.23vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-1.62-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Yale University1.5720.1%1st Place
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7.12George Washington University0.477.0%1st Place
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5.89Brown University1.019.4%1st Place
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6.41University of South Florida0.839.0%1st Place
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6.870.647.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Rhode Island0.125.0%1st Place
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5.67Stanford University1.0010.8%1st Place
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8.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.185.1%1st Place
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7.67Roger Williams University0.495.9%1st Place
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9.69Northeastern University-0.173.2%1st Place
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12.08Connecticut College-1.051.2%1st Place
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7.46University of Hawaii0.475.7%1st Place
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10.45Maine Maritime Academy-0.482.0%1st Place
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6.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.688.0%1st Place
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13.14Princeton University-1.620.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Foley | 20.1% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Clary | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Sidney Moyer | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Grace Jones | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Lola Kohl | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Ava Cornell | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Meara Conley | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Katherine McGagh | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Sylvia Burns | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 5.5% |
| Viola Henry | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 25.1% | 25.6% |
| Malia Johnson | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Simone Ford | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 8.9% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Kate Feiner | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 16.6% | 51.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.