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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.68vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.20+1.42vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.07vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.26+1.00vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan2.03-1.30vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.17+0.57vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.14-1.75vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.36-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.3%1st Place
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3.42Cornell University2.200.2%1st Place
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3.07University of Pennsylvania2.430.2%1st Place
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5.0University of Wisconsin1.260.1%1st Place
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3.7University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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6.57Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
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5.25Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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6.31Northwestern University0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 29.4% | 23.5% | 19.1% | 13.9% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 17.4% | 17.1% | 19.2% | 19.0% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Lenox Butcher | 22.4% | 20.3% | 19.1% | 17.6% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Erin Sullivan | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 21.5% | 16.6% | 9.4% |
| Jenna Probst | 14.0% | 16.3% | 17.7% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Christina Black | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 23.0% | 42.6% |
| Lera Anders | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 19.7% | 18.3% | 13.6% |
| Margot Murray | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 28.0% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.