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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.20+2.35vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.43+1.06vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.26vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan2.03-0.28vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.14+0.21vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.26-1.06vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.36-0.59vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.17-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Cornell University2.200.2%1st Place
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3.06University of Pennsylvania2.430.2%1st Place
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2.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.3%1st Place
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3.72University of Michigan2.030.2%1st Place
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5.21Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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4.94University of Wisconsin1.260.1%1st Place
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6.41Northwestern University0.360.0%1st Place
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6.57Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 17.1% | 19.7% | 19.7% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Lenox Butcher | 22.1% | 21.3% | 18.8% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Bailey Carter | 27.8% | 23.6% | 19.8% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Jenna Probst | 15.1% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Lera Anders | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 21.6% | 19.7% | 10.2% |
| Erin Sullivan | 7.2% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 19.9% | 15.1% | 9.5% |
| Margot Murray | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 25.4% | 37.0% |
| Christina Black | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 15.4% | 24.9% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.