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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.20+2.35vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.43+1.04vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan2.03+0.69vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-1.23vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.26+0.01vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.36+0.38vs Predicted
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7Queen's University0.17-0.34vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.14-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Cornell University2.200.2%1st Place
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3.04University of Pennsylvania2.430.2%1st Place
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3.69University of Michigan2.030.2%1st Place
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2.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.3%1st Place
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5.01University of Wisconsin1.260.1%1st Place
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6.38Northwestern University0.360.0%1st Place
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6.66Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
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5.1Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 17.6% | 20.5% | 19.0% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 22.8% | 20.5% | 19.7% | 16.3% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Jenna Probst | 15.6% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Bailey Carter | 26.7% | 22.7% | 19.2% | 17.6% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Erin Sullivan | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 20.8% | 18.2% | 7.8% |
| Margot Murray | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 26.8% | 33.9% |
| Christina Black | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 24.0% | 45.4% |
| Lera Anders | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 18.6% | 20.9% | 17.5% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.