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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.68vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.20+1.43vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.02vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan2.03-0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.26-0.01vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.36+0.36vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.14-1.75vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.17-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.3%1st Place
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3.43Cornell University2.200.2%1st Place
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3.02University of Pennsylvania2.430.2%1st Place
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3.71University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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4.99University of Wisconsin1.260.1%1st Place
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6.36Northwestern University0.360.0%1st Place
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5.25Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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6.56Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 28.9% | 24.7% | 19.0% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 17.0% | 18.0% | 18.6% | 18.0% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Lenox Butcher | 23.0% | 20.4% | 20.0% | 16.4% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Jenna Probst | 14.5% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 18.5% | 16.3% | 11.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Erin Sullivan | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 20.3% | 17.6% | 8.2% |
| Margot Murray | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 24.4% | 35.4% |
| Lera Anders | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 21.2% | 17.9% | 13.6% |
| Christina Black | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 13.5% | 27.0% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.