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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.73vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.20+1.44vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.06vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.26+1.01vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.14+0.19vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.36+0.35vs Predicted
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7Queen's University0.17-0.39vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan2.03-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.3%1st Place
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3.44Cornell University2.200.2%1st Place
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3.06University of Pennsylvania2.430.2%1st Place
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5.01University of Wisconsin1.260.1%1st Place
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5.19Tufts University1.140.0%1st Place
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6.35Northwestern University0.360.0%1st Place
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6.61Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
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3.61University of Michigan2.030.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 28.3% | 23.8% | 18.7% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 16.8% | 18.3% | 18.7% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Lenox Butcher | 21.8% | 20.9% | 20.3% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Erin Sullivan | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 21.5% | 16.9% | 9.0% |
| Lera Anders | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 21.9% | 9.5% |
| Margot Murray | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 16.8% | 24.7% | 33.9% |
| Christina Black | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 23.8% | 44.3% |
| Jenna Probst | 16.0% | 15.7% | 17.6% | 19.0% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.