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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.69vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.43+1.04vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan2.03+0.68vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.26+1.00vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.20-1.57vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.17+0.57vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.14-1.75vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.36-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.3%1st Place
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3.04University of Pennsylvania2.430.2%1st Place
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3.68University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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5.0University of Wisconsin1.260.1%1st Place
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3.43Cornell University2.200.2%1st Place
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6.57Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
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5.25Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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6.33Northwestern University0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 29.6% | 22.2% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Lenox Butcher | 22.1% | 21.6% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Jenna Probst | 14.3% | 15.6% | 17.7% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Erin Sullivan | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 20.9% | 17.3% | 9.4% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 16.5% | 18.6% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Christina Black | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 22.8% | 42.7% |
| Lera Anders | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 19.3% | 18.9% | 13.5% |
| Margot Murray | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 16.2% | 28.2% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.