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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.91+3.30vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.38+0.27vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.41+0.55vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.70-0.85vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.15-0.99vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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2.27Georgetown University3.380.4%1st Place
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3.55George Washington University2.410.1%1st Place
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3.15Tulane University2.700.2%1st Place
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4.01U. S. Naval Academy2.150.1%1st Place
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3.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Groble | 8.1% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 21.3% | 32.6% |
| Jack Reiter | 37.7% | 26.1% | 17.9% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Soenke Jordan | 13.9% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 19.6% | 19.6% | 13.6% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 17.9% | 20.3% | 21.5% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 8.4% |
| Tyler Fleig | 10.0% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 18.7% | 20.0% | 25.1% |
| Joshua Paper | 12.4% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 19.1% | 18.0% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.