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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.38+1.26vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.70+1.11vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.41+0.57vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.91+0.29vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-1.19vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.15-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26Georgetown University3.380.4%1st Place
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3.11Tulane University2.700.2%1st Place
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3.57George Washington University2.410.1%1st Place
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4.29Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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3.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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3.95U. S. Naval Academy2.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 36.8% | 27.7% | 18.3% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 19.3% | 21.1% | 19.6% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 8.7% |
| Soenke Jordan | 14.0% | 15.5% | 17.6% | 19.1% | 20.4% | 13.4% |
| Bridget Groble | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 20.9% | 32.3% |
| Joshua Paper | 11.0% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 19.1% | 19.0% | 20.1% |
| Tyler Fleig | 10.7% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 17.7% | 20.7% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.