← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.38+1.26vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+1.68vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University2.41+0.57vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University2.70-0.86vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.15-0.97vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University1.91-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.26Georgetown University3.380.4%1st Place
-
3.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
-
3.57George Washington University2.410.1%1st Place
-
3.14Tulane University2.700.2%1st Place
-
4.03U. S. Naval Academy2.150.1%1st Place
-
4.32Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 37.8% | 26.3% | 17.9% | 10.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Joshua Paper | 11.6% | 18.0% | 15.7% | 17.5% | 20.3% | 16.9% |
| Soenke Jordan | 13.5% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 20.4% | 19.6% | 13.5% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 19.2% | 18.0% | 22.3% | 18.6% | 13.8% | 8.1% |
| Tyler Fleig | 10.1% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 20.3% | 25.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 21.4% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.