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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.57+2.96vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68+4.65vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.83+3.45vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.49+3.47vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.01+0.88vs Predicted
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6Stanford University1.00-0.25vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.47+0.33vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.12+0.29vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University-0.17+0.96vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.47-2.62vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18-2.59vs Predicted
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120.64-4.99vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.48-2.56vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College-1.05-1.99vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-1.62-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96Yale University1.5720.8%1st Place
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6.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.688.2%1st Place
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6.45University of South Florida0.838.8%1st Place
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7.47Roger Williams University0.496.7%1st Place
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5.88Brown University1.019.7%1st Place
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5.75Stanford University1.0010.8%1st Place
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7.33George Washington University0.475.7%1st Place
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8.29University of Rhode Island0.125.2%1st Place
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9.96Northeastern University-0.172.8%1st Place
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7.38University of Hawaii0.475.9%1st Place
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8.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.184.2%1st Place
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7.010.646.7%1st Place
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10.44Maine Maritime Academy-0.482.6%1st Place
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12.01Connecticut College-1.051.1%1st Place
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13.02Princeton University-1.620.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Foley | 20.8% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Grace Jones | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Katherine McGagh | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Sidney Moyer | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ava Cornell | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Hayden Clary | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 7.6% |
| Malia Johnson | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Meara Conley | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 1.6% |
| Lola Kohl | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Simone Ford | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 17.0% | 9.6% |
| Viola Henry | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 23.5% | 25.8% |
| Kate Feiner | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.