Race 10A

fall-dinghy-pcc

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Gregory Dair 6.7% 7.4% 8.6% 9.5% 6.4% 8.0% 7.7% 7.6% 7.2% 7.5% 5.9% 5.4% 4.7% 3.1% 2.3% 2.0%
Ryan Sullivan 10.8% 12.7% 10.7% 10.5% 9.7% 8.6% 8.3% 6.8% 5.3% 5.1% 4.4% 2.6% 2.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Zachary Hester 8.2% 7.9% 7.6% 8.7% 8.8% 8.7% 8.7% 7.7% 8.0% 7.6% 5.6% 4.3% 3.2% 2.1% 2.2% 0.7%
Bryan Rust 2.2% 3.4% 3.4% 5.0% 4.7% 4.7% 5.3% 5.4% 5.9% 5.4% 7.4% 9.1% 7.7% 9.8% 10.3% 10.3%
Eric Alamillo 3.4% 4.0% 3.7% 3.9% 6.4% 6.2% 6.1% 8.2% 5.6% 6.3% 6.7% 8.6% 8.3% 7.9% 8.8% 5.9%
Jack Porter 6.0% 8.0% 8.3% 8.0% 8.4% 9.1% 7.7% 7.0% 7.2% 6.9% 6.7% 5.2% 4.3% 3.5% 2.2% 1.5%
Kelsey Rupp 5.6% 6.7% 6.2% 5.5% 7.0% 6.7% 7.3% 6.5% 8.0% 7.6% 6.5% 6.8% 7.1% 5.7% 4.3% 2.5%
Bradley Schoch 4.4% 5.8% 5.1% 4.8% 5.9% 6.9% 5.6% 7.5% 7.0% 6.6% 7.7% 7.5% 7.1% 7.4% 6.5% 4.2%
Andrew Cowley 3.2% 3.1% 3.9% 4.8% 3.7% 4.0% 6.1% 6.7% 5.8% 6.7% 7.8% 8.3% 8.2% 8.5% 9.1% 10.1%
Aubrey Toole 2.1% 2.2% 3.3% 2.3% 2.9% 2.9% 3.1% 2.8% 4.2% 5.9% 6.2% 6.5% 9.2% 11.7% 12.9% 21.8%
Oscar Jasklowski 7.2% 5.5% 6.2% 8.0% 5.9% 6.0% 7.3% 8.2% 8.1% 7.9% 6.9% 7.2% 6.2% 4.7% 2.9% 1.8%
Geoff Pedrick 4.9% 5.2% 3.7% 6.0% 7.3% 8.3% 5.3% 6.6% 6.8% 6.5% 7.1% 7.0% 7.7% 6.2% 7.0% 4.4%
Philip Gordon 5.0% 4.5% 7.2% 6.8% 6.6% 6.8% 8.1% 7.0% 8.2% 8.1% 7.2% 6.6% 6.0% 5.4% 3.8% 2.7%
Kevin Laube 25.8% 19.6% 16.2% 12.0% 8.8% 5.6% 5.3% 1.8% 2.3% 1.8% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Thomas Maher 2.9% 1.9% 3.2% 1.7% 3.6% 3.7% 3.8% 6.0% 6.0% 5.3% 6.3% 7.5% 7.0% 12.1% 14.8% 14.2%
Ryan Lee 1.6% 2.1% 2.7% 2.5% 3.9% 3.8% 4.3% 4.2% 4.4% 4.8% 7.4% 7.1% 10.7% 10.5% 12.3% 17.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.