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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.91+3.29vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.38+0.25vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.70+0.13vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.15-0.05vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.41-1.34vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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2.25Georgetown University3.380.4%1st Place
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3.13Tulane University2.700.2%1st Place
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3.95U. S. Naval Academy2.150.1%1st Place
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3.66George Washington University2.410.1%1st Place
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3.72St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Groble | 7.7% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 20.4% | 32.2% |
| Jack Reiter | 39.2% | 25.3% | 17.1% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 19.1% | 20.3% | 19.7% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 7.2% |
| Tyler Fleig | 9.9% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 18.1% | 21.6% | 22.0% |
| Soenke Jordan | 11.9% | 16.4% | 18.8% | 17.3% | 17.6% | 18.0% |
| Joshua Paper | 12.2% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 19.8% | 18.1% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.