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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.38+1.27vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.70+1.12vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+0.70vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.41-0.42vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.15-0.96vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.91-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Georgetown University3.380.4%1st Place
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3.12Tulane University2.700.2%1st Place
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3.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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3.58George Washington University2.410.1%1st Place
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4.04U. S. Naval Academy2.150.1%1st Place
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4.29Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 36.3% | 27.2% | 19.2% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 19.0% | 21.9% | 19.0% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 8.5% |
| Joshua Paper | 12.4% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 18.9% | 21.2% | 16.2% |
| Soenke Jordan | 14.5% | 14.3% | 18.3% | 19.1% | 19.2% | 14.6% |
| Tyler Fleig | 9.7% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 20.9% | 25.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 19.5% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.