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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.38+1.27vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.41+1.53vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.70+0.14vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.91+0.28vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.15-0.96vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Georgetown University3.380.4%1st Place
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3.53George Washington University2.410.1%1st Place
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3.14Tulane University2.700.2%1st Place
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4.28Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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4.04U. S. Naval Academy2.150.1%1st Place
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3.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 37.3% | 27.7% | 17.2% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Soenke Jordan | 13.3% | 19.2% | 15.6% | 18.9% | 19.2% | 13.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 18.6% | 19.5% | 20.4% | 19.5% | 15.0% | 7.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 8.7% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 19.8% | 33.1% |
| Tyler Fleig | 9.5% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 19.1% | 26.0% |
| Joshua Paper | 12.6% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 21.0% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.