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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.41+2.61vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+1.65vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.70+0.12vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.91+0.30vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.38-2.66vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.15-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61George Washington University2.410.1%1st Place
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3.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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3.12Tulane University2.700.2%1st Place
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4.3Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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2.34Georgetown University3.380.4%1st Place
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3.97U. S. Naval Academy2.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soenke Jordan | 12.4% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 16.2% |
| Joshua Paper | 12.7% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 17.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 18.9% | 19.8% | 20.9% | 18.8% | 13.8% | 7.8% |
| Bridget Groble | 8.7% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 22.6% | 32.3% |
| Jack Reiter | 36.9% | 25.2% | 17.2% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Tyler Fleig | 10.4% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 18.1% | 20.7% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.