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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.38+1.27vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.15+1.87vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.70+0.13vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-0.29vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.41-1.29vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.91-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Georgetown University3.380.4%1st Place
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3.87U. S. Naval Academy2.150.1%1st Place
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3.13Tulane University2.700.2%1st Place
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3.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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3.71George Washington University2.410.1%1st Place
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4.31Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 37.4% | 26.1% | 19.4% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Tyler Fleig | 10.3% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 19.6% | 22.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 18.5% | 20.2% | 20.2% | 19.2% | 14.5% | 7.4% |
| Joshua Paper | 13.2% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 19.3% | 21.6% | 15.8% |
| Soenke Jordan | 12.1% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 17.8% |
| Bridget Groble | 8.5% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 20.5% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.