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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.41+2.57vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.38+0.25vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.70+0.12vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.15-0.05vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-1.20vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.91-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57George Washington University2.410.1%1st Place
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2.25Georgetown University3.380.4%1st Place
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3.12Tulane University2.700.2%1st Place
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3.95U. S. Naval Academy2.150.1%1st Place
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3.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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4.31Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soenke Jordan | 13.2% | 17.6% | 17.7% | 17.4% | 18.2% | 15.9% |
| Jack Reiter | 39.6% | 24.1% | 18.1% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 18.8% | 20.9% | 18.7% | 20.3% | 14.2% | 7.1% |
| Tyler Fleig | 9.7% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 22.5% | 21.4% |
| Joshua Paper | 11.0% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 17.9% | 18.2% | 20.8% |
| Bridget Groble | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 20.7% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.