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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.38+1.28vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.41+1.52vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.91+1.28vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-0.32vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.70-1.75vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.15-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Georgetown University3.380.4%1st Place
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3.52George Washington University2.410.1%1st Place
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4.28Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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3.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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3.25Tulane University2.700.2%1st Place
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3.97U. S. Naval Academy2.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 37.3% | 26.5% | 17.0% | 11.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Soenke Jordan | 12.9% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 18.6% | 18.0% | 14.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 21.7% | 31.9% |
| Joshua Paper | 13.6% | 13.0% | 17.8% | 19.4% | 19.4% | 16.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 17.0% | 20.1% | 19.5% | 17.5% | 15.7% | 10.2% |
| Tyler Fleig | 10.5% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 16.6% | 20.2% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.