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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.38+1.25vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.41+1.54vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+0.68vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.91+0.28vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.15-0.93vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.70-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Georgetown University3.380.4%1st Place
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3.54George Washington University2.410.1%1st Place
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3.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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4.28Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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4.07U. S. Naval Academy2.150.1%1st Place
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3.18Tulane University2.700.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 37.9% | 27.4% | 17.3% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Soenke Jordan | 13.2% | 18.4% | 16.9% | 18.9% | 17.9% | 14.7% |
| Joshua Paper | 12.5% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 19.0% | 20.2% | 16.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 8.5% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 20.9% | 31.8% |
| Tyler Fleig | 9.6% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 17.7% | 19.1% | 27.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 18.3% | 18.6% | 21.3% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.