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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.38+1.28vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.41+1.53vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.70+0.15vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.15-0.06vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.91-0.63vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Georgetown University3.380.4%1st Place
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3.53George Washington University2.410.1%1st Place
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3.15Tulane University2.700.2%1st Place
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3.94U. S. Naval Academy2.150.1%1st Place
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4.37Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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3.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 37.0% | 27.3% | 17.5% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Soenke Jordan | 13.3% | 18.7% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 19.8% | 13.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 18.7% | 18.9% | 21.3% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 7.2% |
| Tyler Fleig | 10.9% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 20.6% | 19.4% | 23.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 7.2% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 20.5% | 34.8% |
| Joshua Paper | 12.9% | 12.6% | 18.8% | 17.8% | 19.9% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.