Race 10C

stu-nelson-connecticut

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ava Cornell 10.0% 11.9% 11.8% 12.8% 11.2% 9.7% 7.9% 8.1% 5.7% 4.7% 4.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Hayden Clary 6.7% 7.1% 6.4% 8.1% 8.0% 7.8% 10.3% 8.9% 9.4% 10.0% 7.6% 5.7% 3.4% 0.7%
Audrey Foley 20.7% 18.4% 14.3% 11.6% 9.9% 8.8% 5.8% 4.0% 2.9% 2.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Katherine McGagh 4.9% 7.3% 7.0% 8.2% 8.6% 9.4% 9.7% 8.3% 9.6% 7.6% 8.5% 6.5% 3.4% 1.1%
Simone Ford 2.9% 2.9% 3.2% 3.1% 4.3% 4.9% 4.9% 5.9% 7.0% 9.2% 10.9% 14.9% 15.8% 10.1%
Grace Jones 10.2% 9.4% 10.2% 8.7% 9.0% 9.2% 8.6% 8.5% 7.2% 7.0% 5.9% 3.8% 2.2% 0.1%
Sylvia Burns 2.6% 3.0% 3.6% 4.2% 5.7% 5.2% 6.6% 5.3% 8.2% 9.0% 12.3% 13.2% 14.2% 6.9%
Ariana Schwartz 6.0% 5.6% 5.5% 6.8% 6.9% 6.9% 7.1% 9.2% 9.2% 9.6% 8.9% 9.7% 6.8% 2.0%
Sidney Moyer 10.1% 11.6% 10.4% 11.1% 9.7% 10.3% 8.1% 8.2% 7.4% 5.1% 4.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Sophia Woodbury 9.6% 7.5% 9.3% 7.5% 9.4% 8.8% 10.0% 8.6% 8.2% 7.6% 6.3% 5.0% 1.6% 0.6%
Lola Kohl 8.3% 7.5% 8.8% 8.1% 8.3% 8.2% 10.4% 10.4% 8.9% 8.2% 5.8% 4.4% 2.1% 0.5%
Meara Conley 5.5% 5.5% 6.8% 6.2% 5.9% 7.0% 6.3% 8.4% 8.5% 10.2% 10.9% 10.8% 6.2% 2.0%
Viola Henry 1.8% 1.2% 1.7% 2.4% 1.8% 2.5% 3.0% 3.8% 4.3% 6.4% 8.6% 13.8% 24.6% 24.1%
Kate Feiner 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 2.5% 3.5% 3.3% 4.6% 8.1% 18.4% 51.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.