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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.04+0.26vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois-1.58+1.35vs Predicted
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3University of Iowa-0.99-0.30vs Predicted
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4Miami University-2.15-0.14vs Predicted
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5Miami University-2.12-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.26University of Illinois1.040.8%1st Place
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3.35University of Illinois-1.580.1%1st Place
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2.7University of Iowa-0.990.1%1st Place
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3.86Miami University-2.150.0%1st Place
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3.84Miami University-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Falconer | 78.6% | 17.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Turenne | 5.1% | 19.4% | 29.3% | 28.0% | 18.2% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 10.4% | 39.2% | 26.7% | 17.5% | 6.2% |
| Susannah Schroeder | 2.6% | 11.7% | 20.9% | 26.9% | 37.9% |
| Anna Bloomquist | 3.3% | 11.8% | 20.2% | 27.0% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.