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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.04+0.27vs Predicted
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2University of Iowa-0.99+0.72vs Predicted
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3Miami University-2.15+0.86vs Predicted
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4Miami University-2.12-0.11vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-1.58-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.27University of Illinois1.040.8%1st Place
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2.72University of Iowa-0.990.1%1st Place
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3.86Miami University-2.150.0%1st Place
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3.89Miami University-2.120.0%1st Place
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3.26University of Illinois-1.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Falconer | 77.8% | 17.9% | 4.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 9.6% | 37.0% | 31.2% | 16.0% | 6.2% |
| Susannah Schroeder | 3.3% | 11.8% | 18.7% | 28.2% | 38.0% |
| Anna Bloomquist | 2.7% | 11.9% | 18.6% | 27.3% | 39.5% |
| Jacob Turenne | 6.6% | 21.4% | 27.5% | 28.2% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.