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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois0.30+0.44vs Predicted
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2University of Iowa-0.84+0.30vs Predicted
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3Miami University-2.16+0.52vs Predicted
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4Miami University-2.03-0.51vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-2.95-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.44University of Illinois0.300.7%1st Place
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2.3University of Iowa-0.840.2%1st Place
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3.52Miami University-2.160.1%1st Place
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3.49Miami University-2.030.0%1st Place
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4.26University of Illinois-2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Rivkin | 67.7% | 22.9% | 7.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Emma Jordan-Wood | 20.0% | 43.6% | 24.3% | 10.9% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Wenk | 5.5% | 12.9% | 26.0% | 34.8% | 20.8% |
| Jacob Maher | 4.8% | 14.1% | 29.9% | 30.1% | 21.1% |
| Grace Rigney | 2.0% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 22.6% | 56.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.