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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois0.30+0.52vs Predicted
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2University of Iowa-0.84+0.47vs Predicted
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3Miami University-2.16+0.94vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-2.95+0.92vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-2.33-0.71vs Predicted
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6Miami University-2.03-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.52University of Illinois0.300.6%1st Place
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2.47University of Iowa-0.840.2%1st Place
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3.94Miami University-2.160.1%1st Place
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4.92University of Illinois-2.950.0%1st Place
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4.29Indiana University-2.330.0%1st Place
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3.86Miami University-2.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Rivkin | 63.1% | 25.5% | 8.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma Jordan-Wood | 21.1% | 36.4% | 23.5% | 13.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Wenk | 5.9% | 10.7% | 20.5% | 23.0% | 26.1% | 13.8% |
| Grace Rigney | 1.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 21.2% | 47.8% |
| Sarah Covey | 3.4% | 9.1% | 15.8% | 22.3% | 25.4% | 24.0% |
| Jacob Maher | 5.0% | 12.5% | 22.9% | 23.4% | 23.2% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.