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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois0.30+0.42vs Predicted
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2University of Iowa-0.84+0.25vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-2.95+1.20vs Predicted
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4Miami University-2.16-0.48vs Predicted
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5Miami University-2.28-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.42University of Illinois0.300.7%1st Place
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2.25University of Iowa-0.840.2%1st Place
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4.2University of Illinois-2.950.0%1st Place
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3.52Miami University-2.160.0%1st Place
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3.61Miami University-2.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Rivkin | 67.4% | 24.4% | 7.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Jordan-Wood | 20.3% | 45.7% | 23.9% | 8.6% | 1.5% |
| Grace Rigney | 2.3% | 6.5% | 14.1% | 23.1% | 54.0% |
| Andrew Wenk | 4.4% | 12.8% | 29.9% | 32.6% | 20.3% |
| Dylan Williams | 5.6% | 10.6% | 25.1% | 34.6% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.