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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois0.30+0.43vs Predicted
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2Miami University-2.28+1.64vs Predicted
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3Miami University-2.16+0.49vs Predicted
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4University of Iowa-0.84-1.76vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-2.95-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43University of Illinois0.300.7%1st Place
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3.64Miami University-2.280.0%1st Place
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3.49Miami University-2.160.1%1st Place
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2.24University of Iowa-0.840.2%1st Place
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4.21University of Illinois-2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Rivkin | 67.1% | 24.8% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Williams | 4.8% | 9.5% | 27.6% | 33.5% | 24.6% |
| Andrew Wenk | 5.6% | 12.7% | 28.8% | 33.1% | 19.8% |
| Emma Jordan-Wood | 20.1% | 47.2% | 22.5% | 8.7% | 1.5% |
| Grace Rigney | 2.4% | 5.8% | 14.7% | 23.1% | 54.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.