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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+4.52vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.57+9.55vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon2.51+5.34vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University2.38+4.97vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay2.30+4.20vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles2.63+1.89vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University2.02+3.23vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego2.19+1.38vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California3.16-3.02vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75+1.19vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz1.99-0.79vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.50-7.07vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii2.92-6.24vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis1.68-2.79vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine2.83-8.73vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands2.77-10.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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11.55University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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8.34University of Oregon2.510.1%1st Place
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8.97Northwestern University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.2California State University Monterey Bay2.300.0%1st Place
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7.89University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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10.23Western Washington University2.020.0%1st Place
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9.38University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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5.98University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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11.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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10.21University of California at Santa Cruz1.990.0%1st Place
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4.93Stanford University3.500.2%1st Place
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6.76University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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11.21University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
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7.27University of California at Irvine2.830.1%1st Place
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7.36California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sullivan | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Aubrey Toole | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 21.7% |
| Philip Gordon | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% |
| Bradley Schoch | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 4.7% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Bryan Rust | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 10.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% |
| Stephen Lue | 10.6% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Maher | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 16.5% |
| Andrew Cowley | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% |
| Nick Dugdale | 15.8% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hester | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Lee | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 17.4% |
| Jack Porter | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Gregory Dair | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.