← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara2.68+1.72vs Predicted
-
2California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+2.52vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles0.52+5.50vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California1.72+0.71vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Irvine-0.71+8.16vs Predicted
-
6California Poly Maritime Academy1.51-0.72vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.70vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley0.29+1.45vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego-0.75+3.91vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles0.61-1.99vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+2.63vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-1.86vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Davis-1.43+2.02vs Predicted
-
14San Diego State University-0.25-2.69vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Berkeley-0.21-3.99vs Predicted
-
16California State University Channel Islands0.15-6.33vs Predicted
-
17University of California at San Diego-1.35-2.08vs Predicted
-
18University of California at San Diego-1.37-2.92vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Santa Cruz-1.03-5.33vs Predicted
-
20California State University Channel Islands0.15-10.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.72University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.3%1st Place
-
4.52California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
-
8.5University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
-
4.71University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
-
13.16University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
-
5.28California Poly Maritime Academy1.510.1%1st Place
-
6.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
-
9.45University of California at Berkeley0.290.0%1st Place
-
12.91University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
-
8.01University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
-
13.63University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
-
10.14University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
-
15.02University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
-
11.31San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
-
11.01University of California at Berkeley-0.210.0%1st Place
-
9.67California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
14.92University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
-
15.08University of California at San Diego-1.370.0%1st Place
-
13.67University of California at Santa Cruz-1.030.0%1st Place
-
9.67California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Gathrid | 32.5% | 22.7% | 18.8% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 13.8% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 12.2% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Van Dine | 9.9% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katey Hayes | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 19.1% | 20.3% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia MacDonald | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Blair Caccam | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 15.9% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| David Gann | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.