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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.61+7.06vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.68+0.70vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+1.54vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.72+0.71vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.51+0.38vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+0.27vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.52+1.40vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.29+1.48vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.71+3.72vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.21+1.03vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.75+2.02vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.15-1.94vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+0.50vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.25-2.68vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-5.18vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands0.15-5.94vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.35-2.00vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz-1.03-4.08vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-1.43-3.71vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.37-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.06University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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2.7University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.3%1st Place
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4.54California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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4.71University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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5.38California Poly Maritime Academy1.510.1%1st Place
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6.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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8.4University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
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9.48University of California at Berkeley0.290.0%1st Place
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12.72University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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11.03University of California at Berkeley-0.210.0%1st Place
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13.02University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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10.06California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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13.5University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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11.32San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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9.82University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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10.06California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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15.0University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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13.92University of California at Santa Cruz-1.030.0%1st Place
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15.29University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
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14.79University of California at San Diego-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Gathrid | 32.8% | 22.5% | 17.0% | 13.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 14.2% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 11.6% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Van Dine | 8.1% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katey Hayes | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Olivia MacDonald | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
| David Gann | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 16.1% | 24.1% | 0.0% |
| Blair Caccam | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.