← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
65.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California1.72+3.70vs Predicted
-
2California Poly Maritime Academy1.51+3.32vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+1.55vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara2.68-1.35vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles0.61+3.33vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+0.25vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles0.52+1.49vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley0.29+1.45vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley-0.21+1.94vs Predicted
-
10San Diego State University-0.25+1.14vs Predicted
-
11California State University Channel Islands0.15-1.28vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-1.86vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Irvine-0.71-0.28vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-1.35+1.12vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Davis-1.43+0.03vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Cruz-1.03-2.00vs Predicted
-
17University of California at San Diego-0.75-4.02vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-4.30vs Predicted
-
19California State University Channel Islands0.15-9.28vs Predicted
-
20University of California at San Diego-1.37-5.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.7University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
-
5.32California Poly Maritime Academy1.510.1%1st Place
-
4.55California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
-
2.65University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.3%1st Place
-
8.33University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
-
6.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
-
8.49University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
-
9.45University of California at Berkeley0.290.0%1st Place
-
10.94University of California at Berkeley-0.210.0%1st Place
-
11.14San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
-
9.72California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
10.14University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
-
12.72University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
-
15.12University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
-
15.03University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
-
14.0University of California at Santa Cruz-1.030.0%1st Place
-
12.98University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
-
13.7University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
-
9.72California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
14.76University of California at San Diego-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paulsen | 11.4% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Van Dine | 10.3% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 14.8% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Gathrid | 30.5% | 25.9% | 18.2% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katey Hayes | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia MacDonald | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 15.6% | 24.7% | 0.0% |
| David Gann | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Blair Caccam | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 18.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.