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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+3.23vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.72+2.46vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.68-0.45vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.51+0.95vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine-0.71+7.65vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-0.25+4.64vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands0.15+2.34vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.21+2.85vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.52-1.21vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.61-2.47vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+2.23vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-1.43+3.20vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.35+1.35vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-4.56vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley0.29-6.30vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-1.03-2.50vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.75-4.51vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.37-3.29vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.08-5.62vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands0.15-10.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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4.46University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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2.55University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.3%1st Place
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4.95California Poly Maritime Academy1.510.1%1st Place
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12.65University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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10.64San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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9.34California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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10.85University of California at Berkeley-0.210.0%1st Place
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7.79University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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7.53University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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13.23University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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15.2University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
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14.35University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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9.44University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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8.7University of California at Berkeley0.290.0%1st Place
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13.5University of California at Santa Cruz-1.030.0%1st Place
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12.49University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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14.71University of California at San Diego-1.370.0%1st Place
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13.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.080.0%1st Place
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9.34California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Rohr | 13.8% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 12.8% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Gathrid | 34.9% | 23.8% | 18.0% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Van Dine | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia MacDonald | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 4.9% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Katey Hayes | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Gann | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Blair Caccam | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
| Brett Baron | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.