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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+3.21vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.68+0.59vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.52+4.96vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.51+0.94vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.61+2.86vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.72-1.58vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.75+5.60vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.29+0.95vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.71+3.22vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.25+0.69vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.21-0.41vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.08+2.10vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+0.01vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.37+0.82vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands0.15-5.81vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-6.79vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz-1.03-3.53vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.35-3.40vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-1.43-4.43vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands0.15-10.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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2.59University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.3%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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4.94California Poly Maritime Academy1.510.1%1st Place
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7.86University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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4.42University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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12.6University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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8.95University of California at Berkeley0.290.0%1st Place
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12.22University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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10.69San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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10.59University of California at Berkeley-0.210.0%1st Place
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14.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.080.0%1st Place
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13.01University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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14.82University of California at San Diego-1.370.0%1st Place
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9.19California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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9.21University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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13.47University of California at Santa Cruz-1.030.0%1st Place
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14.6University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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14.57University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
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9.19California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Rohr | 13.3% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Gathrid | 33.9% | 23.2% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Van Dine | 10.4% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 14.8% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Katey Hayes | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia MacDonald | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Baron | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Blair Caccam | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Gann | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 18.3% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.