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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.68+1.69vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.61+6.16vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+1.51vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.51+1.23vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.72-0.22vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.21+5.00vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.04+3.23vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.71+5.02vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.52-0.68vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-0.24vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.25+0.08vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+1.95vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.15-3.51vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.43+1.28vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-8.82vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.75-3.10vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands0.15-7.51vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.35-3.16vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz-1.03-5.09vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.37-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.3%1st Place
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8.16University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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4.51California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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5.23California Poly Maritime Academy1.510.1%1st Place
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4.78University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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11.0University of California at Berkeley-0.210.0%1st Place
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10.23University of California at Berkeley0.040.0%1st Place
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13.02University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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8.32University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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9.76University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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11.08San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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13.95University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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9.49California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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15.28University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
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6.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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12.9University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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9.49California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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14.84University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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13.91University of California at Santa Cruz-1.030.0%1st Place
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14.66University of California at San Diego-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Gathrid | 32.9% | 22.9% | 18.0% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 13.9% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Van Dine | 9.4% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 11.0% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia MacDonald | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Paulsen | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 23.7% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 20.9% | 0.0% |
| David Gann | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Blair Caccam | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.