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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.68+1.67vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.52+6.46vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.72+1.74vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine-0.71+8.90vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.21+6.31vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.61+2.03vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-2.57vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.51-2.63vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.15+0.55vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+3.54vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-4.76vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-1.03+2.28vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-0.25-2.09vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-4.11vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.75-2.16vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley0.04-5.95vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands0.15-7.45vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-1.43-2.86vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.35-4.11vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.37-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.3%1st Place
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8.46University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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4.74University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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12.9University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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11.31University of California at Berkeley-0.210.0%1st Place
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8.03University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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4.43California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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5.37California Poly Maritime Academy1.510.1%1st Place
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9.55California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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13.54University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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6.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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14.28University of California at Santa Cruz-1.030.0%1st Place
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10.91San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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9.89University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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12.84University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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10.05University of California at Berkeley0.040.0%1st Place
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9.55California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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15.14University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
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14.89University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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14.75University of California at San Diego-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Gathrid | 32.3% | 24.5% | 17.6% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 13.3% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia MacDonald | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 13.1% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Van Dine | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Gann | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Paulsen | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 23.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Blair Caccam | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.