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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.68+1.67vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+2.45vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.51+2.30vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.61+4.13vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.72-0.17vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.52+2.35vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.73vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.71+5.01vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.25+2.08vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+3.59vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.04-0.90vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.21-0.64vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-1.03+0.71vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.15-4.17vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.43-0.03vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-6.26vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands0.15-7.17vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.37-2.99vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.35-4.07vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-0.75-7.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.3%1st Place
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4.45California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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5.3California Poly Maritime Academy1.510.1%1st Place
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8.13University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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4.83University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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8.35University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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6.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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13.01University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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11.08San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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13.59University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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10.1University of California at Berkeley0.040.0%1st Place
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11.36University of California at Berkeley-0.210.0%1st Place
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13.71University of California at Santa Cruz-1.030.0%1st Place
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9.83California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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14.97University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
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9.74University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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9.83California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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15.01University of California at San Diego-1.370.0%1st Place
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14.93University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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12.67University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Gathrid | 33.6% | 22.6% | 17.5% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 14.2% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Van Dine | 10.5% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 10.7% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Paulsen | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia MacDonald | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| David Gann | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 24.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Blair Caccam | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 19.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vick | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.