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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois0.30+2.37vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University1.06+0.40vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-1.30+2.72vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-1.36+1.85vs Predicted
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5Hope College-2.27+1.98vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.32-0.27vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.49-3.80vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.72-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37University of Illinois0.300.1%1st Place
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2.4Michigan State University1.060.3%1st Place
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5.72Western Michigan University-1.300.0%1st Place
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5.85Grand Valley State University-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.98Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
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5.73Hope College-1.320.0%1st Place
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3.2Marquette University0.490.2%1st Place
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2.74University of Wisconsin0.720.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Rivkin | 14.7% | 19.0% | 18.8% | 23.2% | 13.8% | 8.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Baptiste Monnier | 32.5% | 25.5% | 20.5% | 14.5% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Resnick | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 15.7% | 23.7% | 24.8% | 14.4% |
| Sarah Corder | 1.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 17.3% | 22.5% | 24.4% | 17.4% |
| Justin Edick | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 13.1% | 21.1% | 52.8% |
| Nina McAlvey | 3.6% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 18.7% | 21.8% | 24.8% | 14.7% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 19.2% | 17.2% | 19.9% | 20.9% | 15.0% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Tye Rubin | 24.5% | 24.4% | 22.1% | 16.0% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.