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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University1.06+1.33vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.49+1.13vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.30+0.37vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.72-1.18vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.32+0.82vs Predicted
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6Hope College-2.27+0.94vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-1.36-1.10vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.30-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Michigan State University1.060.3%1st Place
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3.13Marquette University0.490.2%1st Place
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3.37University of Illinois0.300.2%1st Place
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2.82University of Wisconsin0.720.2%1st Place
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5.82Hope College-1.320.0%1st Place
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6.94Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
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5.9Grand Valley State University-1.360.0%1st Place
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5.7Western Michigan University-1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baptiste Monnier | 34.2% | 26.4% | 20.7% | 11.7% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 18.3% | 19.0% | 22.3% | 20.8% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Rivkin | 15.4% | 17.3% | 19.9% | 21.9% | 17.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Tye Rubin | 23.2% | 23.3% | 19.8% | 20.2% | 10.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Nina McAlvey | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 16.0% | 24.6% | 26.7% | 14.6% |
| Justin Edick | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 13.3% | 20.0% | 52.5% |
| Sarah Corder | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 15.0% | 21.1% | 25.4% | 19.2% |
| David Resnick | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 18.2% | 25.8% | 23.4% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.