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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.72+1.85vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University1.06+0.46vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.30+0.54vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-1.36+2.03vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.49-1.75vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.32-0.09vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-0.56-2.09vs Predicted
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8Hope College-2.27-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85University of Wisconsin0.720.2%1st Place
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2.46Michigan State University1.060.3%1st Place
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3.54University of Illinois0.300.1%1st Place
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6.03Grand Valley State University-1.360.0%1st Place
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3.25Marquette University0.490.2%1st Place
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5.91Hope College-1.320.0%1st Place
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4.91Western Michigan University-0.560.1%1st Place
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7.05Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tye Rubin | 24.1% | 22.5% | 20.3% | 17.5% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Baptiste Monnier | 31.9% | 26.3% | 18.6% | 13.5% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Rivkin | 13.8% | 16.1% | 20.1% | 19.7% | 17.3% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Corder | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 11.7% | 23.0% | 27.2% | 20.9% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 17.1% | 19.3% | 20.6% | 19.6% | 14.2% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Nina McAlvey | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 13.8% | 23.4% | 26.5% | 18.0% |
| McKenzie Frame | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 21.2% | 21.7% | 15.2% | 5.6% |
| Justin Edick | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 23.9% | 54.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.