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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University1.06+1.39vs Predicted
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2Hope College-1.32+4.00vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.72-0.06vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.30-0.46vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.49-1.77vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-0.56-1.17vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-1.36-0.98vs Predicted
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8Hope College-2.27-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39Michigan State University1.060.3%1st Place
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6.0Hope College-1.320.0%1st Place
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2.94University of Wisconsin0.720.2%1st Place
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3.54University of Illinois0.300.1%1st Place
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3.23Marquette University0.490.2%1st Place
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4.83Western Michigan University-0.560.1%1st Place
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6.02Grand Valley State University-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.05Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baptiste Monnier | 34.2% | 25.8% | 19.0% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nina McAlvey | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 23.1% | 29.2% | 19.0% |
| Tye Rubin | 21.7% | 22.4% | 21.1% | 17.9% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Michael Rivkin | 13.5% | 17.1% | 18.5% | 20.8% | 16.3% | 10.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 17.7% | 20.5% | 19.3% | 18.3% | 14.1% | 8.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| McKenzie Frame | 6.1% | 5.5% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 23.0% | 21.0% | 12.8% | 5.0% |
| Sarah Corder | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 13.3% | 19.7% | 29.9% | 19.9% |
| Justin Edick | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 11.6% | 21.7% | 55.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.