← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston1.19+2.49vs Predicted
-
2Clemson University0.12+3.26vs Predicted
-
3Georgia Institute of Technology-0.32+3.88vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.53-0.87vs Predicted
-
5Wake Forest University0.08+0.93vs Predicted
-
6Vanderbilt University-0.93+2.30vs Predicted
-
7University of North Carolina-0.92+1.32vs Predicted
-
8Clemson University0.87-3.88vs Predicted
-
9Duke University-0.37-1.90vs Predicted
-
10The Citadel-0.27-3.08vs Predicted
-
11University of South Carolina-0.11-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.49College of Charleston1.1919.8%1st Place
-
5.26Clemson University0.129.0%1st Place
-
6.88Georgia Institute of Technology-0.325.1%1st Place
-
3.13North Carolina State University1.5325.4%1st Place
-
5.93Wake Forest University0.086.8%1st Place
-
8.3Vanderbilt University-0.932.5%1st Place
-
8.32University of North Carolina-0.922.2%1st Place
-
4.12Clemson University0.8714.2%1st Place
-
7.1Duke University-0.374.8%1st Place
-
6.92The Citadel-0.274.7%1st Place
-
6.53University of South Carolina-0.115.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Beaulieu | 19.8% | 20.1% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ashton Loring | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Alex Bagnoni | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 9.8% |
| Jacob Usher | 25.4% | 20.8% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Johnny Perkins | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 3.9% |
| Victor Larimer | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 27.4% |
| Emma Gumny | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 16.8% | 30.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 14.2% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Zohar Almani | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 11.1% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 8.6% |
| Molly Loring | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.