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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.72+1.79vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University1.06+0.41vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-1.36+2.80vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.30-0.59vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.32+0.78vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.49-2.89vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-1.30-1.21vs Predicted
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8Hope College-2.27-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79University of Wisconsin0.720.2%1st Place
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2.41Michigan State University1.060.3%1st Place
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5.8Grand Valley State University-1.360.0%1st Place
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3.41University of Illinois0.300.2%1st Place
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5.78Hope College-1.320.0%1st Place
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3.11Marquette University0.490.2%1st Place
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5.79Western Michigan University-1.300.0%1st Place
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6.91Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tye Rubin | 23.9% | 23.2% | 22.3% | 17.4% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Baptiste Monnier | 32.4% | 25.9% | 21.0% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Corder | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 9.0% | 15.4% | 21.6% | 24.4% | 17.8% |
| Michael Rivkin | 15.2% | 16.0% | 21.4% | 19.8% | 17.9% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Nina McAlvey | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 16.8% | 24.7% | 24.8% | 14.8% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 18.5% | 20.0% | 21.3% | 21.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| David Resnick | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 24.8% | 22.0% | 17.3% |
| Justin Edick | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 12.5% | 23.4% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.