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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.72+1.79vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University1.06+0.40vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-1.36+2.79vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.30-0.59vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.32+0.79vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.49-2.90vs Predicted
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7Hope College-2.27-0.01vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.30-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79University of Wisconsin0.720.2%1st Place
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2.4Michigan State University1.060.3%1st Place
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5.79Grand Valley State University-1.360.0%1st Place
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3.41University of Illinois0.300.2%1st Place
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5.79Hope College-1.320.0%1st Place
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3.1Marquette University0.490.2%1st Place
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6.99Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
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5.71Western Michigan University-1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tye Rubin | 23.2% | 24.2% | 21.8% | 17.8% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Baptiste Monnier | 32.5% | 26.3% | 20.7% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Corder | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 22.5% | 26.2% | 16.0% |
| Michael Rivkin | 15.3% | 15.5% | 21.7% | 21.2% | 15.8% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Nina McAlvey | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 16.9% | 23.5% | 26.5% | 14.3% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 18.6% | 19.2% | 22.0% | 22.4% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Justin Edick | 1.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 18.7% | 55.3% |
| David Resnick | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 19.7% | 24.7% | 22.7% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.